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DET vs NE · Sun 9:30 AM ETCarries · 3.5 ·
54Signal · under 3.567% · 6 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 9Cleared the number in 3 of 9 games, 1 without a result
Dabble 3.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 3.8 a game recently
Expected carries: 3.8 against 3.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -7.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-11-09 | WAS | 1 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 1 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | GB | 1 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIN | 11 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | MIA | 3 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 9 | 67% under | +0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.5Dabble· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | @ MIA | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs MIN | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs GB | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 6 | over |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 1 | under |