Audric Estimé

CLE @ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 28.5 at Hard Rock Bet · median 26.5 ·

52Signal · under 28.567% · 4 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance

2 / 6

How the formula reads this game

carries: 9.1 a game recently

Expected rushing yards: 33.7 yds against 28.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 1 this season.

Last 10 games against 28.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -65 on the under

Each game against 28.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2025-12-07	TB	11 under	−17.5
2025-12-14	CAR	11 under	−17.5
2025-12-21	NYJ	19 under	−9.5
2025-12-28	TEN	94 over	+65.5
2026-01-04	ATL	63 over	+34.5
2026-10-18	BAL	19 under	−9.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	4 / 6	67% under	-8
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 67% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

7 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 28.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 28.5
2026-10-18	vs BAL	19	under
2026-01-04	@ ATL	63	over
2025-12-28	@ TEN	94	over
2025-12-21	vs NYJ	19	under
2025-12-14	vs CAR	11	under
2025-12-07	@ TB	11	under