← NFL board3 straight over
Austin Ekeler
WAS vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 3.5 at Underdog ·
100%over3 / 3 · last 10
3 / 3Cleared the number in 3 of 3 games, 7 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 5.5 a game recently
Expected carries: 5.5 against 3.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Tightest clearance +0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-07 | NYG | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-09-11 | GB | 8 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | IND | 4 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 3 | 100% over | +2.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs IND | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-11 | @ GB | 8 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs NYG | 6 | over |