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Braelon Allen
NYJ vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 18.5 at Underdog ·
90%under9 / 10 · last 10
1 / 10Cleared the number in 1 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 12.3 a game recently
Expected carries: 12.3 against 18.5 · over 36%, under 64%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 18.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -5.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-07 | PIT | 6 under | −12.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | BUF | 2 under | −16.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | TB | 6 under | −12.5 |
| 2025-09-29 | MIA | 4 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 10 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 5 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 4 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 14 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 24 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 17 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 9 / 10 | 90% under | +9.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
18.56 books, no line disagreementHR · DK · FAN · FL · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | @ MIA | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TB | 6 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs BUF | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs PIT | 6 | under |