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Braelon Allen

NYJ vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 13.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·

80%under8 / 10 · last 10
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 2.2 a game recently
  • vs MIA · ×1.02 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 7.6 yds against 13.5 · over 38%, under 62%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 13.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -12 on the under
13.52025-09-07 vs PIT: 0, under 13.5 by 13.5 yds0PIT2025-09-14 vs BUF: 0, under 13.5 by 13.5 yds0BUF2025-09-21 at TB: 17, over 13.5 by 3.5 yds17TB2025-09-29 at MIA: 0, under 13.5 by 13.5 yds0MIA2026-09-13 at TEN: 0, under 13.5 by 13.5 yds0TEN2026-09-20 vs GB: 8, under 13.5 by 5.5 yds8GB2026-09-27 at DET: 3, under 13.5 by 10.5 yds3DET2026-10-04 at CHI: 8, under 13.5 by 5.5 yds8CHI2026-10-11 vs CLE: 0, under 13.5 by 13.5 yds0CLE2026-10-18 at NE: 26, over 13.5 by 12.5 yds26NE
Each game against 13.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-09-07PIT0 under−13.5
2025-09-14BUF0 under−13.5
2025-09-21TB17 over+3.5
2025-09-29MIA0 under−13.5
2026-09-13TEN0 under−13.5
2026-09-20GB8 under−5.5
2026-09-27DET3 under−10.5
2026-10-04CHI8 under−5.5
2026-10-11CLE0 under−13.5
2026-10-18NE26 over+12.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 108 / 1080% under+7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

6 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 15.5
  • DraftKings 13.5
  • Fliff 13.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 13.5
  • DK Pick6 13.5
  • PrizePicks 13.5
  • BetMGM 15.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 13.5
2026-10-18@ NE26over
2026-10-11vs CLE0under
2026-10-04@ CHI8under
2026-09-27@ DET3under
2026-09-20vs GB8under
2026-09-13@ TEN0under
2025-09-29@ MIA0under
2025-09-21@ TB17over
2025-09-14vs BUF0under
2025-09-07vs PIT0under