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Braelon Allen
NYJ vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 at BetMGM ·
90%under9 / 10 · last 10
1 / 10Cleared the number in 1 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.2 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.5 against 2.5 · over 39%, under 61%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -0.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-07 | PIT | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | BUF | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | TB | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-09-29 | MIA | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 2 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 9 / 10 | 90% under | +1.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.57 books, no line disagreementMGM · DK · HR · FL · PK6 · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | @ MIA | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TB | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs PIT | 0 | under |