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Braelon Allen
NYJ vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 71.5 at BetMGM · median 74.5 ·
80%under8 / 10 · last 10
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 12.3 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 52.3 yds against 71.5 · over 40%, under 60%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 71.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -44 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-07 | PIT | 9 under | −62.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | BUF | 11 under | −60.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | TB | 30 under | −41.5 |
| 2025-09-29 | MIA | 26 under | −45.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 40 under | −31.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 7 under | −64.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 14 under | −57.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 59 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 116 over | +44.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 78 over | +6.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +33 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
9 books · 5 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 76.5
- BetMGM 71.5
- Fliff 74.5
- Bally Bet 74.5
- betPARX 74.5
- BetRivers 74.5
- PrizePicks 74.5
- Hard Rock Bet 75.5
- DraftKings 76.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 76.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 71.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 78 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 116 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 59 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 40 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | @ MIA | 26 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TB | 30 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs BUF | 11 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs PIT | 9 | under |