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Breece Hall

NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 59.5 ·

56Signal · under 59.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
Underdog 59.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 17.0 a game recently
  • vs LV · ×1.02 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 55.3 yds against 59.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.

Last 10 games against 59.5 · Nov 13, 2025 – Sep 27, 2026

Worst miss -51 on the under
59.52025-11-13 at NE: 58, under 59.5 by 1.5 yds58NE2025-11-23 at BAL: 44, under 59.5 by 15.5 yds44BAL2025-11-30 vs ATL: 68, over 59.5 by 8.5 yds68ATL2025-12-07 vs MIA: 43, under 59.5 by 16.5 yds43MIA2025-12-14 at JAX: 23, under 59.5 by 36.5 yds23JAX2025-12-21 at NO: 54, under 59.5 by 5.5 yds54NO2025-12-28 vs NE: 111, over 59.5 by 51.5 yds111NE2026-09-13 at TEN: 102, over 59.5 by 42.5 yds102TEN2026-09-20 vs GB: 29, under 59.5 by 30.5 yds29GB2026-09-27 at DET: 32, under 59.5 by 27.5 yds32DET
Each game against 59.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-13NE58 under−1.5
2025-11-23BAL44 under−15.5
2025-11-30ATL68 over+8.5
2025-12-07MIA43 under−16.5
2025-12-14JAX23 under−36.5
2025-12-21NO54 under−5.5
2025-12-28NE111 over+51.5
2026-09-13TEN102 over+42.5
2026-09-20GB29 under−30.5
2026-09-27DET32 under−27.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 107 / 1070% under+3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

59.5Underdog· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 59.5
2026-09-27@ DET32under
2026-09-20vs GB29under
2026-09-13@ TEN102over
2025-12-28vs NE111over
2025-12-21@ NO54under
2025-12-14@ JAX23under
2025-12-07vs MIA43under
2025-11-30vs ATL68over
2025-11-23@ BAL44under
2025-11-13@ NE58under
2025-11-09vs CLE83over
2025-10-26@ CIN133over
2025-10-19vs CAR38under
2025-10-12vs DEN59under
2025-10-05vs DAL113over
2025-09-29@ MIA81over
2025-09-21@ TB21under
2025-09-14vs BUF29under
2025-09-07vs PIT107over