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Brevyn Spann-Ford
DAL vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 14.5 at BetRivers · median 15.5 ·
55Signal · under 14.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.2 a game recently
- vs ARI · ×1.07 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 14.2 yds against 14.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 14.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 26, 2026
Worst miss -20 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DET | 7 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 31 over | +16.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NYG | 30 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 14 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 19 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 0 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 35 over | +20.5 |
| 2026-10-26 | PHI | 11 under | −3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 15.5
- DraftKings 14.5
- Bally Bet 14.5
- betPARX 14.5
- BetRivers 14.5
- DK Pick6 14.5
- ESPN Bet 15.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 15.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 15.5 (easiest number)
- Fanatics 15.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 15.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 15.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 15.5 to 14.5
- betPARXMoved from 15.5 to 14.5
- BetRiversMoved from 15.5 to 14.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 15.5 to 14.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 18.5 to 15.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | @ PHI | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 35 | over |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 19 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 14 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NYG | 30 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 31 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 4 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 9 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 2 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NYG | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-04 | @ PHI | 0 | under |