Brock Purdy

SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 30.5 at Fliff ·

56Signal · under 30.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

3 / 10

5 straight under

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 28.5 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 28.5 against 30.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 30.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026

Worst miss -3.5 on the under

Each game against 30.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-14	TEN	30 under	−0.5
2025-12-22	IND	34 over	+3.5
2025-12-28	CHI	33 over	+2.5
2026-01-03	SEA	27 under	−3.5
2026-09-10	LA	34 over	+3.5
2026-09-20	MIA	22 under	−8.5
2026-09-27	ARI	27 under	−3.5
2026-10-04	DEN	30 under	−0.5
2026-10-11	SEA	29 under	−1.5
2026-10-19	WAS	29 under	−1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	7 / 10	70% under	+1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

30.58 books, no line disagreementFAN · HR · PX2 · DK · FL · BB · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 30.5
2026-10-19	vs WAS	29	under
2026-10-11	@ SEA	29	under
2026-10-04	vs DEN	30	under
2026-09-27	vs ARI	27	under
2026-09-20	vs MIA	22	under
2026-09-10	@ LA	34	over
2026-01-03	vs SEA	27	under
2025-12-28	vs CHI	33	over
2025-12-22	@ IND	34	over
2025-12-14	vs TEN	30	under
2025-11-30	@ CLE	29	under
2025-11-24	vs CAR	32	over
2025-11-16	@ ARI	26	under
2025-09-28	vs JAX	38	over
2025-09-07	@ SEA	35	over