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Bryce Young
CAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing TDs · 1.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
51Signal · over 1.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 40.2 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 2.2 against 1.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 2 over | +0.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +0.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
1.510 books, no line disagreementESPN · DK · HR · FD · BB · MGM · PX2 · FL · BR · FAN· best price at 1.5: ESPN -140
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 3 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 1 | under |