← NFL board
Bucky Irving
TB @ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 65.5 · median of 11 books ·
52Signal · under 65.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 16.0 a game recently
- vs CAR · ×1.04 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 78.1 yds against 65.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 65.5 · Dec 11, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -99 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | ATL | 60 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR | 71 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | MIA | 19 under | −46.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR | 85 over | +19.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CIN | 45 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CLE | 89 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIN | 46 under | −19.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | GB | 61 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | DAL | 165 over | +99.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PIT | 46 under | −19.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 7 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 68.5
- ESPN Bet 61.5
- DraftKings 64.5
- FanDuel 65.5
- BetMGM 65.5
- Fanatics 65.5
- Hard Rock Bet 65.5
- Fliff 65.5
- PrizePicks 66.5
- betPARX 68.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 68.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 68.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 65.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs PIT | 46 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | @ DAL | 165 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs GB | 61 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs MIN | 46 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CLE | 89 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CIN | 45 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | vs CAR | 85 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ MIA | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ CAR | 71 | over |
| 2025-12-11 | vs ATL | 60 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs NO | 55 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs ARI | 61 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs PHI | 63 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NYJ | 66 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | @ HOU | 71 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ ATL | 37 | under |