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Chris Olave
NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ETReceiving Yards · 74.5 at Hard Rock Bet · median 75.5 ·
49Signal · over 74.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 10.2 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 96.1 yds against 74.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 74.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -44| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | TB | 30 under | −44.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR | 85 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYJ | 148 over | +73.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TEN | 119 over | +44.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DET | 182 over | +107.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL | 86 over | +11.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LV | 107 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL | 116 over | +41.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN | 46 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYG | 43 under | −31.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +22 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 72.5
- DraftKings 72.5 -114 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 74.5 -105
- BetMGM 74.5 -115
- Hard Rock Bet 74.5 -115
- betPARX 75.5 -114
- FanDuel 75.5 -114
- BetRivers 75.5 -115
- Bally Bet 75.5 -120
- Fliff 75.5 -120
- PrizePicks 75.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 71.5 to 72.5
- BetMGMMoved from 75.5 to 74.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 71.5 to 74.5
- FanDuelMoved from 74.5 to 75.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 65.5 to 75.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NYG | 43 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs MIN | 46 | under |
| 2026-10-05 | vs ATL | 116 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LV | 107 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ BAL | 86 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ DET | 182 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ TEN | 119 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs NYJ | 148 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CAR | 85 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ TB | 30 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ MIA | 47 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs ATL | 70 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CAR | 104 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ LA | 57 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TB | 63 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ CHI | 98 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs NE | 98 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs NYG | 59 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ BUF | 20 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ SEA | 57 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SF | 54 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs ARI | 54 | under |