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CJ Donaldson
NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ETReceiving Yards · 3.5 at PrizePicks ·
65Signal · under 3.567% · 4 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 6Cleared the number in 2 of 6 games, 4 without a result
PrizePicks 3.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.0 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 1.7 yds against 3.5 · over 35%, under 65%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -3 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | DET | -2 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LV | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN | 7 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYG | 0 under | −3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 6 | 67% under | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
3.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NYG | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs MIN | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-05 | vs ATL | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LV | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ BAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ DET | -2 | under |