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CJ Donaldson
NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ETRushing Yards · 11.5 at PrizePicks · median 10.5 ·
53Signal · under 11.550% · 3 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 6Cleared the number in 3 of 6 games, 4 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 2.8 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×0.99 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 13.3 yds against 11.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 11.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -9| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | DET | 4 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL | 2 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LV | 5 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL | 18 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN | 13 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYG | 39 over | +27.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 6 | 50% | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8 books · 1 yds spread
- FanDuel 10.5
- Hard Rock Bet 10.5
- betPARX 10.5
- BetRivers 10.5
- Bally Bet 10.5
- Fliff 10.5
- DraftKings 11.5
- PrizePicks 11.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 11.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NYG | 39 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs MIN | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-05 | vs ATL | 18 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LV | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ BAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ DET | 4 | under |