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Cody White

LV vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Receptions · 1.5 at Fliff ·

62Signal · under 1.583% · 5 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 6Cleared the number in 1 of 6 games, 4 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 2.0 a game recently → 2.2 this game
  • WR3 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.10 targets

Expected receptions: 1.1 against 1.5 · over 38%, under 62%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.

Last 10 games against 1.5 · Nov 2, 2025 – Sep 27, 2026

Worst miss -0.5 on the under
1.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-11-02 at WAS: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51WAS2025-11-30 vs MIN: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51MIN2025-12-07 at ATL: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51ATL2026-09-13 vs MIA: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50MIA2026-09-20 at LAC: 2, over 1.5 by 0.52LAC2026-09-27 at NO: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51NO
Each game against 1.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-11-02WAS1 under−0.5
2025-11-30MIN1 under−0.5
2025-12-07ATL1 under−0.5
2026-09-13MIA0 under−1.5
2026-09-20LAC2 over+0.5
2026-09-27NO1 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 683% under+0.5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 83% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.

Book Range

1.55 books, no line disagreementMGM · DK · HR · FD · FL

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 1.5
2026-09-27@ NO1under
2026-09-20@ LAC2over
2026-09-13vs MIA0under
2025-12-07@ ATL1under
2025-11-30vs MIN1under
2025-11-02@ WAS1under