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Cyrus Allen
KC @ SEA · Sun 8:20 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 at DraftKings ·
49Signal · under 0.567% · 2 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 3Cleared the number in 1 of 3 games, 7 without a result
- Rashee Rice WR is listed Out (hamstring). He had 19% of KC's targets this season, 5.7 a game over 3.
Cyrus's targets without Rashee Rice: 1.5 a game (2 games), against 1.0 with him (1).
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.3 a game recently → 2.2 this game
- Rice out · +0.9 targets (16% of his 5.7)
Expected receptions: 1.1 against 0.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 14, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LV | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC | 2 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 2 / 3 | 67% under | -0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
0.55 books, no line disagreementFD · HR · FL · DK · MGM
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs LAC | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ LV | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 0 | under |