Dak Prescott

DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 9.5 at betPARX ·

52Signal · under 9.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

5 / 10

3 straight under

How the formula reads this game

carries: 2.3 a game recently

Expected rushing yards: 12.2 yds against 9.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 9.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -10

Each game against 9.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-14	MIN	2 under	−7.5
2025-12-21	LAC	14 over	+4.5
2025-12-25	WAS	24 over	+14.5
2026-01-04	NYG	-1 under	−10.5
2026-09-13	NYG	14 over	+4.5
2026-09-20	WAS	26 over	+16.5
2026-09-27	BAL	19 over	+9.5
2026-10-04	HOU	7 under	−2.5
2026-10-08	TB	0 under	−9.5
2026-10-18	GB	7 under	−2.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 10	50%	+2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

10 books · 1 yds spread

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 9.5
2026-10-18	@ GB	7	under
2026-10-08	vs TB	0	under
2026-10-04	@ HOU	7	under
2026-09-27	vs BAL	19	over
2026-09-20	vs WAS	26	over
2026-09-13	@ NYG	14	over
2026-01-04	@ NYG	-1	under
2025-12-25	@ WAS	24	over
2025-12-21	vs LAC	14	over
2025-12-14	vs MIN	2	under
2025-12-04	@ DET	14	over
2025-11-27	vs KC	-2	under
2025-11-23	vs PHI	9	under
2025-11-17	@ LV	-4	under
2025-11-03	vs ARI	34	over
2025-10-26	@ DEN	31	over
2025-10-19	vs WAS	7	under
2025-10-12	@ CAR	-1	under
2025-10-05	@ NYJ	28	over
2025-09-28	vs GB	2	under
2025-09-21	@ CHI	0	under
2025-09-14	vs NYG	17	over
2025-09-04	@ PHI	3	under