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Dareke Young
LV @ NE · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 4.5 at PrizePicks ·
53Signal · over 4.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · props like this landed
4 / 5Cleared the number in 4 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.3 a game recently
- vs NE · ×0.97 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 16.6 yds against 4.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 4.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -4| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | NO | 12 over | +7.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | TB | 36 over | +31.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR | 0 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 27 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 9 over | +4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 5 | 80% over | +12 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
4.52 books, no line disagreementFD · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 9 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 27 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 36 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 12 | over |