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Denzel Boston
CLE @ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 3.5 at PrizePicks ·
55Signal · under 3.563% · 5 / 8 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 8Cleared the number in 3 of 8 games, 2 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.6 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.3 against 3.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -2.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL | 1 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TEN | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | PIT | 6 over | +2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 8 | 63% under | +0.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 63% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ PIT | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | @ TEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 2 | under |