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Derius Davis
LAC vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 7.5 at PrizePicks ·
53Signal · under 7.5100% · 8 / 8 · last 10 · props like this landed
0 / 8Cleared the number in 0 of 8 games, 2 without a result
PrizePicks 7.5 ·
- Quentin Johnston WR is listed Out (chest). He had 16% of LAC's targets this season, 4.8 a game over 4.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.0 a game recently → 1.8 this game
- Johnston out · +0.8 targets (17% of his 4.8)
- vs DEN · ×0.96 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 3.5 yds against 7.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Sep 5, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Tightest clearance +1 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-05 | KC | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | DEN | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | PIT | 3 under | −4.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | JAX | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DEN | 7 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LV | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 6 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 8 | 100% under | +6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
7.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 6 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs LV | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ DEN | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 3 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-05 | vs KC | 0 | under |