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Devin Singletary
NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 at BetMGM ·
55Signal · under 2.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently → 2.6 this game
- RB2 on the depth chart (usually RB3) · ×1.15 targets
Expected receptions: 2.3 against 2.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | DET | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-01 | NE | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | WAS | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | LV | 4 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DAL | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL | 4 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | LA | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NO | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | HOU | 3 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +0.8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.59 books, no line disagreementDK · ESPN · FD · MGM · PX2 · HR · BR · BB · FL
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ HOU | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs NO | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | @ LA | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs DAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ LV | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs WAS | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-01 | @ NE | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs GB | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CHI | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs SF | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ DEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-09 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs LAC | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs KC | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ WAS | 0 | under |