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Devin Singletary

NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 73.5 at BetMGM ·

65Signal · under 73.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 10Cleared the number in 1 of 10 games
8 straight under
  • Cam Skattebo RB is listed Doubtful (hamstring). He had 54% of NYG's carries this season, 16.3 a game over 6.

Devin's carries without Cam Skattebo: 9.5 a game (10 games), against 3.8 with him (11).

The game history below does not account for this absence.

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 4.5 a game recently → 5.7 this game
  • targets: 2.3 a game recently → 2.6 this game
  • RB2 on the depth chart (usually RB3) · ×1.26 carries
  • Heavier load · ×0.98 yds per carry
  • RB2 on the depth chart (usually RB3) · ×1.15 targets

Expected rush + rec yards: 40.3 yds against 73.5 · over 35%, under 65%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 73.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -28 on the under
73.52025-11-23 at DET: 47, under 73.5 by 26.5 yds47DET2025-12-01 at NE: 102, over 73.5 by 28.5 yds102NE2025-12-14 vs WAS: 14, under 73.5 by 59.5 yds14WAS2025-12-21 vs MIN: 46, under 73.5 by 27.5 yds46MIN2025-12-28 at LV: 70, under 73.5 by 3.5 yds70LV2026-01-04 vs DAL: 26, under 73.5 by 47.5 yds26DAL2026-09-13 vs DAL: 38, under 73.5 by 35.5 yds38DAL2026-09-21 at LA: 9, under 73.5 by 64.5 yds9LA2026-10-18 vs NO: 33, under 73.5 by 40.5 yds33NO2026-10-25 at HOU: 55, under 73.5 by 18.5 yds55HOU
Each game against 73.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-23DET47 under−26.5
2025-12-01NE102 over+28.5
2025-12-14WAS14 under−59.5
2025-12-21MIN46 under−27.5
2025-12-28LV70 under−3.5
2026-01-04DAL26 under−47.5
2026-09-13DAL38 under−35.5
2026-09-21LA9 under−64.5
2026-10-18NO33 under−40.5
2026-10-25HOU55 under−18.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 109 / 1090% under+30
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

10 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 75.5
  • DraftKings 73.5
  • Bally Bet 73.5
  • betPARX 73.5
  • BetRivers 73.5
  • BetMGM 73.5
  • PrizePicks 73.5
  • FanDuel 74.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 74.5
  • Fliff 74.5
  • Underdog 75.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 73.5
2026-10-25@ HOU55under
2026-10-18vs NO33under
2026-09-21@ LA9under
2026-09-13vs DAL38under
2026-01-04vs DAL26under
2025-12-28@ LV70under
2025-12-21vs MIN46under
2025-12-14vs WAS14under
2025-12-01@ NE102over
2025-11-23@ DET47under
2025-11-16vs GB47under
2025-11-09@ CHI73under
2025-11-02vs SF51under
2025-10-26@ PHI28under
2025-10-19@ DEN2under
2025-10-09vs PHI10under
2025-10-05@ NO24under
2025-09-28vs LAC28under
2025-09-21vs KC11under
2025-09-14@ DAL0under
2025-09-07@ WAS9under