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Devontez Walker

BAL @ DAL · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Receptions · 0.5 · median of 2 books

83%over5 / 6 · last 10
5 / 6Cleared the number in 5 of 6 games, 4 without a result

How the formula reads tonight

  • targets: 1.7 a game recently

Expected receptions: 1.1 against 0.5

No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 1 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5

Worst miss -0.5
0.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-09-14 vs CLE: 2, over 0.5 by 1.52CLE2025-09-22 vs DET: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51DET2025-11-23 vs NYJ: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51NYJ2025-11-27 vs CIN: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50CIN2026-01-04 at PIT: 2, over 0.5 by 1.52PIT2026-09-20 vs NO: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51NO
Each game against 0.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-09-14CLE2 over+1.5
2025-09-22DET1 over+0.5
2025-11-23NYJ1 over+0.5
2025-11-27CIN0 under−0.5
2026-01-04PIT2 over+1.5
2026-09-20NO1 over+0.5

The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)
Last 105 / 683% over+0.7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)
This season (with DPB Pro)
Away (with DPB Pro)

See whether the 83% survives the other windows → Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.

Book Range

0.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 0.5
2026-09-20vs NO1over
2026-01-04@ PIT2over
2025-11-27vs CIN0under
2025-11-23vs NYJ1over
2025-09-22vs DET1over
2025-09-14vs CLE2over