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Dohnte Meyers
CIN vs PIT · Sun 8:20 PM ETReceiving Yards · 22.5 at Bally Bet · median 19.5 ·
52Signal · under 22.550% · 4 / 8 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 8Cleared the number in 4 of 8 games, 2 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.3 a game recently → 3.4 this game
- WR3 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.05 targets
- vs PIT · ×0.98 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 29.1 yds against 22.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.
Last 10 games against 22.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -22| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | TB | 18 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | HOU | 0 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | PIT | 29 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | JAX | 82 over | +59.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIA | 12 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | BAL | 0 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | TEN | 34 over | +11.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | ATL | 47 over | +24.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 8 | 50% | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 3 yds spread
- DraftKings 19.5
- FanDuel 19.5
- ESPN Bet 19.5
- Hard Rock Bet 19.5
- Fliff 19.5
- PrizePicks 19.5
- Underdog 19.5
- BetMGM 20.5
- betPARX 22.5
- BetRivers 22.5
- Bally Bet 22.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 20.5 to 19.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 20.5 to 19.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 20.5 to 19.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 15.5 to 19.5
- UnderdogMoved from 15.5 to 19.5
- Bally BetMoved from 21.5 to 22.5
- betPARXMoved from 21.5 to 22.5
- BetRiversMoved from 21.5 to 22.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | @ ATL | 47 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TEN | 34 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | @ BAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ MIA | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs JAX | 82 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ PIT | 29 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ HOU | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TB | 18 | under |