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Drake Maye
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETCompletions · 20.5 at BetMGM ·
60%under6 / 10 · last 10
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 30.5 a game recently
Expected completions: 19.5 against 20.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 20.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -10.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 14 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 31 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 19 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 14 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | SEA | 23 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 14 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 14 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 22 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 26 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 18 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
20.511 books, no line disagreementESPN · PX2 · FAN · HR · BR · DK · BB · MGM · FL · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 20.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 18 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 22 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | 23 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 14 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 31 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 14 | under |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 24 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 22 | over |
| 2025-11-13 | vs NYJ | 25 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ TB | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs ATL | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 18 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 21 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 18 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 22 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 28 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | 30 | over |