Garrett Wilson

NYJ vs BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 57.5 ·

53Signal · under 57.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

4 / 10

Dabble 57.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

carries: 0.0 a game recently
targets: 7.9 a game recently
vs BUF · ×0.96 yds per target

Expected rush + rec yards: 63.2 yds against 57.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.

Last 10 games against 57.5 · Oct 12, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026

Worst miss -49 on the under

Each game against 57.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-10-12	DEN	13 under	−44.5
2025-11-09	CLE	0 under	−57.5
2026-09-13	TEN	79 over	+21.5
2026-09-20	GB	57 under	−0.5
2026-09-27	DET	107 over	+49.5
2026-10-04	CHI	27 under	−30.5
2026-10-11	CLE	104 over	+46.5
2026-10-18	NE	44 under	−13.5
2026-10-25	MIA	26 under	−31.5
2026-11-01	LV	83 over	+25.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	6 / 10	60% under	+4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

57.5Dabble· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 57.5
2026-11-01	vs LV	83	over
2026-10-25	vs MIA	26	under
2026-10-18	@ NE	44	under
2026-10-11	vs CLE	104	over
2026-10-04	@ CHI	27	under
2026-09-27	@ DET	107	over
2026-09-20	vs GB	57	under
2026-09-13	@ TEN	79	over
2025-11-09	vs CLE	0	under
2025-10-12	vs DEN	13	under
2025-10-05	vs DAL	71	over
2025-09-29	@ MIA	82	over
2025-09-21	@ TB	84	over
2025-09-14	vs BUF	50	under
2025-09-07	vs PIT	95	over