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Geno Smith
NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ETInterceptions Thrown · 0.5 · median of 6 books ·
59Signal · under 0.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 29.6 a game recently
Expected interceptions thrown: 0.3 against 0.5 · over 41%, under 59%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | DEN | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | HOU | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYG | 2 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TEN | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | GB | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DET | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIA | 1 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
0.56 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · PX2 · FL · BR · BB
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs MIA | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DET | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NYG | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ HOU | 1 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs DEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ LAC | 1 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs CLE | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | vs DAL | 1 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | @ DEN | 1 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs JAX | 1 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ KC | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs TEN | 1 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ IND | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CHI | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | vs LAC | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ NE | 1 | over |