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Isaiah Davis
NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 9.5 at Fliff · median 10.5 ·
50%even5 / 10 · last 10
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 3.3 a game recently
- vs LV · ×1.02 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 9.8 yds against 9.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 9.5 · Nov 13, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -9| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | NE | 11 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | BAL | 7 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | ATL | 0 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | MIA | 22 over | +12.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | JAX | 58 over | +48.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NO | 8 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NE | 11 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE | 8 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NE | 16 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIA | 5 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
9 books · 1 yds spread
- Fliff 9.5
- Underdog 9.5
- DraftKings 10.5
- betPARX 10.5
- Hard Rock Bet 10.5
- BetRivers 10.5
- FanDuel 10.5
- Bally Bet 10.5
- PrizePicks 10.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs MIA | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ NE | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CLE | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NE | 11 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ NO | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ JAX | 58 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs MIA | 22 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ BAL | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-13 | @ NE | 11 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs CLE | 10 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ CIN | 65 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs CAR | 10 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DAL | 5 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | @ MIA | 9 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs PIT | 18 | over |