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Isaiah Likely
NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 53.5 at Underdog ·
55Signal · under 53.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 9.0 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×0.93 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 52.4 yds against 53.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 53.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -45 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | PIT | 25 under | −28.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | GB | 27 under | −26.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | PIT | 32 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL | 78 over | +24.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | LA | 33 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | TEN | 13 under | −40.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI | 66 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | WAS | 94 over | +40.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NO | 99 over | +45.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | HOU | 12 under | −41.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
53.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 53.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ HOU | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs NO | 99 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ WAS | 94 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs ARI | 66 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs TEN | 13 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | @ LA | 33 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs DAL | 78 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ PIT | 32 | under |
| 2025-12-27 | @ GB | 27 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs PIT | 25 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs CIN | 95 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYJ | 10 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ CLE | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ MIN | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-30 | @ MIA | 60 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CHI | 8 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs LA | 6 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs HOU | 12 | under |