J.J. McCarthy

NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 31.5 at PrizePicks ·

56Signal · under 31.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

2 / 10

8 straight under

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 16.3 a game recently → 28.4 this game
QB1 on the depth chart (usually QB2) · ×1.74 pass attempts

Expected pass attempts: 28.4 against 31.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.

Last 10 games against 31.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -10.5 on the under

Each game against 31.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-09	BAL	42 over	+10.5
2025-11-16	CHI	32 over	+0.5
2025-11-23	GB	19 under	−12.5
2025-12-07	WAS	23 under	−8.5
2025-12-14	DAL	24 under	−7.5
2025-12-21	NYG	14 under	−17.5
2026-01-04	GB	23 under	−8.5
2026-10-11	WAS	0 under	−31.5
2026-10-18	NO	21 under	−10.5
2026-10-25	HOU	28 under	−3.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	8 / 10	80% under	+8.9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

31.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 31.5
2026-10-25	@ HOU	28	under
2026-10-18	vs NO	21	under
2026-10-11	@ WAS	0	under
2026-01-04	vs GB	23	under
2025-12-21	@ NYG	14	under
2025-12-14	@ DAL	24	under
2025-12-07	vs WAS	23	under
2025-11-23	@ GB	19	under
2025-11-16	vs CHI	32	over
2025-11-09	vs BAL	42	over
2025-11-02	@ DET	25	under
2025-09-14	vs ATL	21	under
2025-09-08	@ CHI	20	under