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J.J. McCarthy
NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 13.5 at Underdog ·
59Signal · over 13.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.7 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 9.7 yds against 13.5 · over 41%, under 59%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 13.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -13| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | BAL | 48 over | +34.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | CHI | 0 under | −13.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | GB | 10 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | WAS | 19 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DAL | 15 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYG | 20 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | GB | 7 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | WAS | 2 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NO | 26 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | HOU | 1 under | −12.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
13.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 13.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs NO | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ WAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs GB | 7 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ NYG | 20 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DAL | 15 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs WAS | 19 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ GB | 10 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BAL | 48 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ DET | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs ATL | 25 | over |
| 2025-09-08 | @ CHI | 25 | over |