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Jalen Royals
KC @ SEA · Sun 8:20 PM ETReceiving Yards · 21.5 at PrizePicks ·
68Signal · under 21.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 5Cleared the number in 1 of 5 games, 5 without a result
PrizePicks 21.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently → 2.4 this game
- WR3 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.08 targets
- vs SEA · ×0.92 yds per target
- Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 10.3 yds against 21.5 · over 32%, under 68%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Jan 4, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-01-04 | LV | 4 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 6 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 11 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LV | 0 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC | 24 over | +2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 5 | 80% under | +13 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
21.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs LAC | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ LV | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 6 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ LV | 4 | under |