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Jonathan Mingo
DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 at Underdog ·
50Signal · under 0.563% · 5 / 8 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 8Cleared the number in 3 of 8 games, 2 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.0 against 0.5 · over 50%, under 50%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 8, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-12-04 | DET | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NYG | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 2 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 8 | 63% under | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 63% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
0.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 1 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NYG | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 1 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 0 | under |