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Jordan Watkins

SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 26.5 ·

52Signal · under 26.575% · 3 / 4 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 4Cleared the number in 1 of 4 games, 6 without a result
PrizePicks 26.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 1.5 a game recently
  • vs ATL · ×1.01 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 32.0 yds against 26.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 26.5 · Oct 26, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026

Worst miss -33 on the under
26.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-10-26 at HOU: 7, under 26.5 by 19.5 yds7HOU2025-11-02 at NYG: 19, under 26.5 by 7.5 yds19NYG2026-09-27 vs ARI: 60, over 26.5 by 33.5 yds60ARI2026-10-19 vs WAS: 22, under 26.5 by 4.5 yds22WAS
Each game against 26.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-10-26HOU7 under−19.5
2025-11-02NYG19 under−7.5
2026-09-27ARI60 over+33.5
2026-10-19WAS22 under−4.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 103 / 475% under0
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 75% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

26.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 26.5
2026-10-19vs WAS22under
2026-09-27vs ARI60over
2025-11-02@ NYG19under
2025-10-26@ HOU7under