← NFL board3 straight over
Josh Cuevas
BAL vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 at Fliff · median 1.5 ·
59Signal · over 0.5100% · 3 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 3Cleared the number in 3 of 3 games, 7 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.7 a game recently
Expected receptions: 2.3 against 0.5 · over 59%, under 41%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026
Tightest clearance +0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-27 | DAL | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ATL | 2 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE | 4 over | +3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 3 | 100% over | +1.8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 0.5
- Fliff 0.5 -245 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 1.5 +182
- Hard Rock Bet 1.5 +180
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ CLE | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ ATL | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DAL | 1 | over |