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Juwan Johnson
NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ETReceiving Yards · 34.5 at BetRivers · median 32.5 ·
47Signal · over 34.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.7 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×1.03 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 42.4 yds against 34.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 34.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -34| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CAR | 30 under | −4.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NYJ | 89 over | +54.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TEN | 95 over | +60.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ATL | 61 over | +26.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DET | 54 over | +19.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL | 66 over | +31.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LV | 53 over | +18.5 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL | 59 over | +24.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN | 16 under | −18.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYG | 0 under | −34.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +18 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 31.5
- BetMGM 31.5 -120 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 32.5 -111
- FanDuel 32.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 32.5 -115
- Fliff 32.5 -125
- PrizePicks 32.5
- ESPN Bet 33.5 -105
- betPARX 34.5 -112
- BetRivers 34.5 -113
- Bally Bet 34.5 -117
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 34.5 to 32.5
- FliffMoved from 33.5 to 32.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 34.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ NYG | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs MIN | 16 | under |
| 2026-10-05 | vs ATL | 59 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LV | 53 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ BAL | 66 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ DET | 54 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ ATL | 61 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ TEN | 95 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs NYJ | 89 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CAR | 30 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ TB | 38 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ MIA | 39 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs ATL | 46 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CAR | 92 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ LA | 31 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TB | 53 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ CHI | 79 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs NE | 15 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs NYG | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ BUF | 28 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ SEA | 51 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs SF | 49 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs ARI | 76 | over |