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Keenan Allen
IND @ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 45.5 at FanDuel ·
56Signal · under 45.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 7.2 a game recently
- vs JAX · ×0.98 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 42.2 yds against 45.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 45.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -36 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | KC | 36 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL | 44 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | HOU | 17 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DEN | 36 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BAL | 32 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | KC | 5 under | −40.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | HOU | 63 over | +17.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PIT | 45 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TEN | 82 over | +36.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | MIN | 31 under | −14.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
45.55 books, no line disagreementDK · FD · HR · FL · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 45.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ MIN | 31 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs TEN | 82 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ PIT | 45 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs HOU | 63 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ KC | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | 32 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ DEN | 36 | under |
| 2025-12-27 | vs HOU | 17 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 44 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ KC | 36 | under |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 22 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 30 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 53 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 19 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 41 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | vs MIN | 44 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 119 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ MIA | 27 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs WAS | 58 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NYG | 37 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DEN | 65 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | @ LV | 61 | over |
| 2025-09-05 | vs KC | 68 | over |