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Keon Coleman

BUF @ MIN · Mon 8:15 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 29.5 at Dabble ·

51Signal · under 29.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
Dabble 29.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 0.0 a game recently
  • targets: 3.9 a game recently
  • vs MIN · ×0.97 yds per target

Expected rush + rec yards: 40.0 yds against 29.5 · over 49%, under 51%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 29.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026

Worst miss -28
29.52025-11-30 at PIT: 9, under 29.5 by 20.5 yds9PIT2025-12-07 vs CIN: 16, under 29.5 by 13.5 yds16CIN2026-01-04 vs NYJ: 49, over 29.5 by 19.5 yds49NYJ2026-09-13 at HOU: 1, under 29.5 by 28.5 yds1HOU2026-09-17 vs DET: 63, over 29.5 by 33.5 yds63DET2026-09-27 vs LAC: 37, over 29.5 by 7.5 yds37LAC2026-10-04 vs NE: 116, over 29.5 by 86.5 yds116NE2026-10-12 at LA: 7, under 29.5 by 22.5 yds7LA2026-10-18 at LV: 59, over 29.5 by 29.5 yds59LV2026-11-01 vs BAL: 4, under 29.5 by 25.5 yds4BAL
Each game against 29.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-30PIT9 under−20.5
2025-12-07CIN16 under−13.5
2026-01-04NYJ49 over+19.5
2026-09-13HOU1 under−28.5
2026-09-17DET63 over+33.5
2026-09-27LAC37 over+7.5
2026-10-04NE116 over+86.5
2026-10-12LA7 under−22.5
2026-10-18LV59 over+29.5
2026-11-01BAL4 under−25.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%+7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

29.5Dabble· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 29.5
2026-11-01vs BAL4under
2026-10-18@ LV59over
2026-10-12@ LA7under
2026-10-04vs NE116over
2026-09-27vs LAC37over
2026-09-17vs DET63over
2026-09-13@ HOU1under
2026-01-04vs NYJ49over
2025-12-07vs CIN16under
2025-11-30@ PIT9under
2025-11-09@ MIA46over
2025-11-02vs KC17under
2025-10-26@ CAR30over
2025-10-13@ ATL11under
2025-10-05vs NE23under
2025-09-28vs NO45over
2025-09-18vs MIA20under
2025-09-14@ NYJ26under
2025-09-07vs BAL112over