← NFL board
Kevin Coleman Jr.
MIA @ IND · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 16.5 at Dabble · median 17.5 ·
59Signal · under 16.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.0 a game recently
- vs IND · ×1.03 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 12.1 yds against 16.5 · over 41%, under 59%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 16.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -29 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | LV | 0 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | KC | 3 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN | 3 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN | 30 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NYJ | 0 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | NE | 46 over | +29.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | DET | 0 under | −16.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 7 | 71% under | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 71% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 19.5
- BetMGM 15.5
- Dabble 16.5
- DraftKings 17.5
- Fliff 17.5
- DK Pick6 17.5
- PrizePicks 17.5
- Hard Rock Bet 18.5
- ESPN Bet 19.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 19.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 19.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 16.5 to 17.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 16.5 to 17.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 16.5 to 17.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 17.5 to 18.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 17.5 to 19.5
- FanDuelMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
- UnderdogMoved from 16.5 to 19.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs DET | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs NE | 46 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | @ NYJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CIN | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs KC | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LV | 0 | under |