← NFL board

Kevin Coleman Jr.

MIA @ IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 17.5 at DraftKings ·

60Signal · under 17.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.0 a game recently
  • vs IND · ×1.03 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 12.1 yds against 17.5 · over 40%, under 60%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 17.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026

Worst miss -28 on the under
17.5No resultNo resultNo result2026-09-13 at LV: 0, under 17.5 by 17.5 yds0LV2026-09-27 vs KC: 3, under 17.5 by 14.5 yds3KC2026-10-04 at MIN: 3, under 17.5 by 14.5 yds3MIN2026-10-11 vs CIN: 30, over 17.5 by 12.5 yds30CIN2026-10-25 at NYJ: 0, under 17.5 by 17.5 yds0NYJ2026-11-01 vs NE: 46, over 17.5 by 28.5 yds46NE2026-11-08 vs DET: 0, under 17.5 by 17.5 yds0DET
Each game against 17.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2026-09-13LV0 under−17.5
2026-09-27KC3 under−14.5
2026-10-04MIN3 under−14.5
2026-10-11CIN30 over+12.5
2026-10-25NYJ0 under−17.5
2026-11-01NE46 over+28.5
2026-11-08DET0 under−17.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 771% under+6
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 71% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

10 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 19.5
  • BetMGM 15.5
  • Dabble 16.5
  • DraftKings 17.5
  • Fliff 17.5
  • DK Pick6 17.5
  • PrizePicks 17.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 18.5
  • ESPN Bet 19.5 (easiest number)
  • FanDuel 19.5 (easiest number)
  • Underdog 19.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

  • BetMGMMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
  • DraftKingsMoved from 16.5 to 17.5
  • DK Pick6Moved from 16.5 to 17.5
  • PrizePicksMoved from 16.5 to 17.5
  • Hard Rock BetMoved from 17.5 to 18.5
  • ESPN BetMoved from 17.5 to 19.5
  • FanDuelMoved from 18.5 to 19.5
  • UnderdogMoved from 16.5 to 19.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 17.5
2026-11-08vs DET0under
2026-11-01vs NE46over
2026-10-25@ NYJ0under
2026-10-11vs CIN30over
2026-10-04@ MIN3under
2026-09-27vs KC3under
2026-09-13@ LV0under