Laquon Treadwell

IND vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receptions · 2.5 · median of 3 books ·

56Signal · under 2.578% · 7 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance

2 / 9

5 straight under

How the formula reads this game

targets: 3.5 a game recently → 3.7 this game
WR1 on the depth chart (usually WR3) · ×1.05 targets

Expected receptions: 2.1 against 2.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.

Last 10 games against 2.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026

Worst miss -2.5 on the under

Each game against 2.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
2026-09-13	BAL	0 under	−2.5
2026-09-20	KC	3 over	+0.5
2026-09-27	HOU	1 under	−1.5
2026-10-04	WAS	5 over	+2.5
2026-10-11	PIT	2 under	−0.5
2026-10-18	TEN	2 under	−0.5
2026-10-25	MIN	2 under	−0.5
2026-11-01	JAX	1 under	−1.5
2026-11-08	DAL	0 under	−2.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	7 / 9	78% under	+0.7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 78% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

2.53 books, no line disagreementDAB · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 2.5
2026-11-08	vs DAL	0	under
2026-11-01	@ JAX	1	under
2026-10-25	@ MIN	2	under
2026-10-18	vs TEN	2	under
2026-10-11	@ PIT	2	under
2026-10-04	@ WAS	5	over
2026-09-27	vs HOU	1	under
2026-09-20	@ KC	3	over
2026-09-13	vs BAL	0	under