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Mitchell Evans
CAR @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 8.5 ·
52Signal · over 8.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
PrizePicks 8.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.7 a game recently
- vs GB · ×0.93 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 16.3 yds against 8.5 · over 52%, under 48%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 8.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -8| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | LA | 20 over | +11.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 23 over | +14.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 5 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 5 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 9 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 13 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 36 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 8 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 0 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TB | 39 over | +30.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 8.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs TB | 39 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 8 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 36 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 13 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 9 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 23 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 20 | over |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 28 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 24 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs DAL | 21 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIA | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 23 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 9 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 9 | over |