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Quentin Johnston
LAC @ LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 at PrizePicks ·
60Signal · under 2.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.4 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.6 against 2.5 · over 40%, under 60%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | JAX | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LV | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | PHI | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL | 4 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | HOU | 5 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LV | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BUF | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | KC | 1 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +0.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
2.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ KC | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ BUF | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs LV | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs ARI | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-27 | vs HOU | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 4 | over |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs WAS | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NYG | 8 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DEN | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | @ LV | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-05 | vs KC | 5 | over |