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Quinshon Judkins
CLE @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 44.5 at DraftKings · median 46.5 ·
55Signal · under 44.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 14.6 a game recently
- vs TEN · ×0.97 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 43.0 yds against 44.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 44.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -46 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | LV | 47 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | SF | 91 over | +46.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 26 under | −18.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 21 under | −23.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 22 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 33 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 21 under | −23.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 70 over | +25.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 53 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 44 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
5 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 46.5
- DraftKings 44.5
- Hard Rock Bet 46.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 46.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 46.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 46.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 44.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 44 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 53 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 70 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 21 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 33 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 22 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 21 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 26 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 91 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 47 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 59 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ NYJ | 75 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NE | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs MIA | 84 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ PIT | 36 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIN | 110 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DET | 82 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs GB | 94 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ BAL | 61 | over |