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Quinshon Judkins

CLE @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 46.5 at FanDuel ·

56Signal · under 46.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 14.6 a game recently
  • vs TEN · ×0.97 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 43.0 yds against 46.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 46.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026

Worst miss -44 on the under
46.52025-11-23 at LV: 47, over 46.5 by 0.5 yds47LV2025-11-30 vs SF: 91, over 46.5 by 44.5 yds91SF2025-12-07 vs TEN: 26, under 46.5 by 20.5 yds26TEN2025-12-14 at CHI: 21, under 46.5 by 25.5 yds21CHI2025-12-21 vs BUF: 22, under 46.5 by 24.5 yds22BUF2026-09-13 at JAX: 33, under 46.5 by 13.5 yds33JAX2026-09-20 at TB: 21, under 46.5 by 25.5 yds21TB2026-09-27 vs CAR: 70, over 46.5 by 23.5 yds70CAR2026-10-01 vs PIT: 53, over 46.5 by 6.5 yds53PIT2026-10-11 at NYJ: 44, under 46.5 by 2.5 yds44NYJ
Each game against 46.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-23LV47 over+0.5
2025-11-30SF91 over+44.5
2025-12-07TEN26 under−20.5
2025-12-14CHI21 under−25.5
2025-12-21BUF22 under−24.5
2026-09-13JAX33 under−13.5
2026-09-20TB21 under−25.5
2026-09-27CAR70 over+23.5
2026-10-01PIT53 over+6.5
2026-10-11NYJ44 under−2.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under+4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

5 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 46.5
  • DraftKings 44.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 46.5 (easiest number)
  • FanDuel 46.5 (easiest number)
  • Fliff 46.5 (easiest number)
  • PrizePicks 46.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 46.5
2026-10-11@ NYJ44under
2026-10-01vs PIT53over
2026-09-27vs CAR70over
2026-09-20@ TB21under
2026-09-13@ JAX33under
2025-12-21vs BUF22under
2025-12-14@ CHI21under
2025-12-07vs TEN26under
2025-11-30vs SF91over
2025-11-23@ LV47over
2025-11-16vs BAL59over
2025-11-09@ NYJ75over
2025-10-26@ NE19under
2025-10-19vs MIA84over
2025-10-12@ PIT36under
2025-10-05vs MIN110over
2025-09-28@ DET82over
2025-09-21vs GB94over
2025-09-14@ BAL61over