← NFL board5 straight under
Saquon Barkley
PHI vs DAL · Mon 8:15 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 94.5 ·
68Signal · under 94.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
Underdog 94.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 9.0 a game recently
- targets: 1.8 a game recently
- vs DAL · ×1.02 yds per carry
- vs DAL · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 48.4 yds against 94.5 · over 32%, under 68%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 94.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -37 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | DAL | 74 under | −20.5 |
| 2025-11-28 | CHI | 56 under | −38.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | LAC | 122 over | +27.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LV | 92 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | WAS | 132 over | +37.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | BUF | 68 under | −26.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | WAS | 80 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TEN | 20 under | −74.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | CHI | 80 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LA | 10 under | −84.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +21 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
94.5Underdog· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 94.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs LA | 10 | under |
| 2026-09-28 | @ CHI | 80 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TEN | 20 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs WAS | 80 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ BUF | 68 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ WAS | 132 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs LV | 92 | under |
| 2025-12-08 | @ LAC | 122 | over |
| 2025-11-28 | vs CHI | 56 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ DAL | 74 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs DET | 90 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | @ GB | 101 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs NYG | 174 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ MIN | 42 | under |
| 2025-10-09 | @ NYG | 67 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DEN | 88 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ TB | 74 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs LA | 55 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ KC | 94 | under |
| 2025-09-04 | vs DAL | 84 | under |