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Shedeur Sanders
CLE @ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 18.5 at DraftKings ·
67Signal · under 18.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 18.2 a game recently
Expected completions: 11.1 against 18.5 · over 33%, under 67%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 18.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -4.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | BAL | 4 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | LV | 11 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | SF | 16 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 23 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 18 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 20 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | PIT | 17 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CIN | 11 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 1 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | PIT | 2 under | −16.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +6.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
18.55 books, no line disagreementHR · DK · FL · PP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ PIT | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CIN | 11 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs PIT | 17 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 20 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 23 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 11 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 4 | under |