Shedeur Sanders

CLE @ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 30.5 at PrizePicks ·

68Signal · under 30.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

2 / 10

5 straight under

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 18.2 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 18.2 against 30.5 · over 32%, under 68%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 30.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026

Worst miss -11.5 on the under

Each game against 30.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-16	BAL	16 under	−14.5
2025-11-23	LV	20 under	−10.5
2025-11-30	SF	25 under	−5.5
2025-12-07	TEN	42 over	+11.5
2025-12-14	CHI	35 over	+4.5
2025-12-21	BUF	29 under	−1.5
2025-12-28	PIT	23 under	−7.5
2026-01-04	CIN	22 under	−8.5
2026-09-27	CAR	1 under	−29.5
2026-11-01	PIT	2 under	−28.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	8 / 10	80% under	+9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

30.54 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · FL · PP

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 30.5
2026-11-01	@ PIT	2	under
2026-09-27	vs CAR	1	under
2026-01-04	@ CIN	22	under
2025-12-28	vs PIT	23	under
2025-12-21	vs BUF	29	under
2025-12-14	@ CHI	35	over
2025-12-07	vs TEN	42	over
2025-11-30	vs SF	25	under
2025-11-23	@ LV	20	under
2025-11-16	vs BAL	16	under