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Theo Johnson
NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 8.5 at BetRivers ·
50Signal · over 8.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
8 / 10Cleared the number in 8 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×0.93 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 12.7 yds against 8.5 · over 50%, under 50%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 8.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -8| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | CHI | 75 over | +66.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | GB | 36 over | +27.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | DET | 77 over | +68.5 |
| 2025-12-01 | NE | 29 over | +20.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | WAS | 72 over | +63.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN | 0 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL | 9 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | LA | 0 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI | 11 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | WAS | 35 over | +26.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% over | +26 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
8.59 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BR · BB · FD · HR · DK · ESPN · FL · PP· best price at 8.5: PX2 -109
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 8.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ WAS | 35 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs ARI | 11 | over |
| 2026-09-21 | @ LA | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs DAL | 9 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs WAS | 72 | over |
| 2025-12-01 | @ NE | 29 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ DET | 77 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs GB | 36 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CHI | 75 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs SF | 27 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PHI | 20 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ DEN | 66 | over |
| 2025-10-09 | vs PHI | 27 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NO | 33 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs LAC | 17 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs KC | 10 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DAL | 34 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ WAS | 5 | under |